We had very little precipitation from Dec. 19-26, but it is going to be a total change this week with two big rain systems expected.

The middle of the week is looking wet and another system for the New Year’s weekend could bring several inches of rainfall.

This will be another very mild week for temperatures with highs in the 60s to low 70s. Much colder weather is expected to arrive around Jan. 2 with highs only in the upper 40s. There is plenty of cold air bottled up in Alaska and Canada and it is beginning to move into the northern United States.

Looking at all of the data, here is what I think is likely to occur the rest of the winter. It will be much colder for the first week of January followed by a big warm up for the middle of the month which is called the January thaw.

The worst of the winter weather is likely to occur from about Jan. 20-Feb. 15. Cold weather in early March is likely to be followed by warmer weather and an early spring starting in the middle of the month.

Everything is indicating thunderstorms and tornadoes will once again be above-average across the country and the Southeast this spring.

I am a radio meteorologist and I remind folks to have a backup radio with batteries handy because I, along with other forecasters, broadcast through the storms.

A National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration weather radio sounds an alarm to wake you up and then you can monitor a meteorologist on FM radio to keep you updated on storms and damage reports.

You can search amazon.com for those radios and go to windandweather.com to see other neat weather instruments.

Steve Norris provides information to Emergency Management Agencies in many counties in Tennessee. Contact him at weather1@charter.net with questions, to provide a weather update for your area or to suggest topics for his column.

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